Thursday 14 May 20091-2pm, in Fenner School's Forestry Lecture TheatreThat adapting to climate change is easy, up to a pointProfessor Steve Dovers, The Fenner School of Environment and Society
Download Steve's seminar (PDF, 184kb) Hear MP3 of seminar (MP3, 25MB) AbstractWe have seen recently a big shift in climate change debates, from a (necessarily) science-led debate over whether and by how much change would occur, to a discussion of what should be done. This invites contributions from a wider range of disciplines and other knowledge systems, and attention to scales that match human decision making rather than the resolution of climate models. Mitigation debates, dominated by a limited menu of policy instruments, are politically fraught, but should agreement (miraculously) be obtained, the way forward is comprehensible. Adaptation is altogether a messier task, across a bewildering array of environments, socio-economic contexts, sectors, jurisdictions, climate impacts, capacities, etc. Current adaptation literature is strong on generalities, instructions about the ends of policy change, and random examples, but thin on the means to these ends and available strategies. I will try and make a practical contribution here, and redirect thinking about (at least near term) adaptation. For Australia, is adapting to climate change going to be: (i) more of the same for a society that should be used to living in a variable climate; (ii) more than that, but still within our intellectual and institutional capacities; or (iii) a challenge beyond these capacities? What do we already know we should do? In as much a provocation as a seminar, I will prosecute the case that we have well-understood and available adaptive strategies that would collectively, across a variety of sectors and issues and justifiable on non-climate grounds, equal a very believable adaptation strategy. Would that be enough? Probably not - hence the sub-title "up to a point" - but might we get halfway or more, quickly? The argument will be general, but examples from a range of sectors will be used to suggest that the prospect of ripe low-hanging fruit should be the first stop in adaptation policy, and that current flux over claimed or excused practical and policy responsibilities might thus be better comprehended. Bio
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